Rick's Platinum Pick of the week:

Broncos -6 over BENGALS

 

Rick's Gold Picks:

REDSKINS -3.5 over Jets
LIONS -4 over Cardinals
PANTHERS -4 over Jaguars
Falcons +2 over COWBOYS

 

 

Rick's Over/Under Picks:

In the Chiefs - Charger you have improved Offenses and deteriorating Defenses.
The over is listed at 47. I would take the over. 24-23 ... both teams will score more than that.

The under in the Falcons - Cowboys is listed as 36.5 I like the under on that game. Both teams have no choice but to rely heavily on the run right now. Both teams have great defenses. Unless there are some big interceptions, fumbles or big special teams returns for touchdowns, we may not see any touchdowns.

 

 

Ricks "Money Pick of the week."

3 Team Parlay to WIN (money line)
DOLPHINS over Texans
Broncos over BENGALS
REDSKINS over Jets

After a studying the first week match-ups, and thinking about the injuries that happened, I've decided that I'm adding the Redskins into my "money pick of the week." Mr. Pennington could miss 12 weeks with 4 fractured bones in his hand.

*Remember that Chad only got his opportunity because Vinny Testaverde could NOT execute the West coast offense last year. They really struggled with Vinny early in the season. Now he is 1 year older and rusty. Vinny simply is NOT a west coast QB, even after a year on the sideline to study the system.

The Jets already questionable secondary was embarrassed by Ike Hilliard and Kerry Collins, with good performances by Amani Toomer and Tiki Barber as well. The Jets Secondary has big problems and the offense may be anemic this year with Not-So Good-Old-Vinny directing the Offense. They also don't have the dominant run game anymore. Curtis Martin is still great but he won't be gaining 100 yards against a tough Redskins D.

WR Laveraneus Coles is already starting to shine on the pass happy Redskins. After burning the Baltimore Ravens #1 squad last week, he should have no trouble blowing up the Jets "poor" secondary. Coles COULD HAVE easily tallied up 200+ yards and 3 TDs if QB Patrick Ramsey was a little more accurate. Against the Jets poor secondary it won't matter. I believe that Coles and Ramsey will eat up yardage. The Redskins offense is designed to put up huge passing numbers.

The Redskins Defense is much improved. The Defensive line is healthy. Champ Bailey is the BEST cover cornerback in the league. The Skins are loaded with talent and constantly getting better. They will fluster Vinny a.k.a. "sack king" and he will make mistakes. The Redskins have the Jets Best WR, K, PR, from last year. And now the Jets don't have their QB either. After seeing what the Redskins defense did last year I didn't need to think too long about this one.

My 100 point play should pay out 210 points.

I say there is a 75% chance of these 3 teams winning. That is Very Good! The Dolphins are a LOCK at home against the Texans. The Broncos are one of the most complete teams and Run the ball efficiently and the Bengals lost their best Run Stopper Takeo Spikes. They can probably beat the bumbling Bengals without giving Jake Plummer more than 15 chances to blow it!

 

Cover Plays

If your can not find a money line on the Dolphins - Texans game, I have a back up plan. I found so many mismatches in the Jaguars - Panthers game. The Panthers have a totally INSANE defense, thanks to MADMAN coach John Foxx who is considered a defensive genius. He loves Stephen Davis who is a perfect fit at RB for the Panthers offense.

The Jaguars on the other hand are not all there. Mark Brunnell is already questionable at QB and has no good wide receiver to throw it to. Fred Taylor is becoming less of a threat every day, as well as an injury risk. Even if healthy and playing well there is no way Taylor can offset for the lack of a passing game.

Panthers*
Broncos 3 Teams to win (no point spread)
Redskins

My 50 point play should be worth 150 points.

I am totally confident in the Redskins and Broncos however I am not as confident with the Panthers as I was the Dolphins (obviously). I will cover myself by placing a bet with the Jaguars over the Panthers just in case. Take a look …

Jaguars*
Broncos 3 Teams to win (no point spread)
Redskins

My 50 point play in this scenario is worth 275 points

I would place this bet as a "cover" just in case the Jaguars actually beat the Panthers. I really like the Dolphins but if necessary there is still room to work around them this week and it still looks great!

I like all four if the teams. The Dolphins scenario is obviously the best. But the risk on the second scenario is less and the payout is still nice. As you know I really like the Redskins over the Jets because of the "match ups". I really like the Broncos by 6 over a team that cant stop the run, considering C. Portis and one of the best rushing attacks in the league. Finally, I like the Panthers because John Fox got the G-Men to the Super bowl. This Panthers defense is excellent, and Stephen Davis is exactly what Madman Fox needs to win and he has him!

Silly Pick of the Week:

Broncos
Vikings
Chargers

A 20 point play results in 228 points.

These teams are all very good teams and capable of winning big games. It is the NFL. Weird things happen. This is maximum payout play with minimal risk.

 

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