NFL Betting Tutorial - Free Expert Online NFL Football Betting Tutorial - section 1
NFL Betting Tutorial - Our expert NFL football handicapper team presents an easy to read betting
tutorial for online sports betting enthusiasts.
Most professional NFL football handicappers and successful sports betting enthusiasts
like to utilize a plethora of information including detailed statistical analysis (NFL stat sheet) to help make winning picks. The NFL stat sheets we provide include
statistics for the two opposing teams such as results from recent game match ups between these teams, similar
opponents and recent ATS (against the spread) results.
Clicking the link below should open a new window. If that doesn't work you can
do this on most computers by right clicking your mouse and selecting the "open
in new window".
Using 2 different windows here will allow you to go section by section while
looking back and forth between this tutorial and the NFL football stat sheet so
you can learn at your own pace.
NFL football Stat Sheet - Game of the week
Please Note: The example NFL football stat sheet we are using to make this NFL
football betting tutorial is from the 2005 NFC Championship game between the
Philadelphia Eagles & Atlanta Falcons. That means stats we provide below are
relevant for this (old) game. The stat sheet you have open after clicking the
above link should be analyzing different stats that are relevant for the current
NFL game of the week. (next week games). Lets get started!
NFL Betting Tutorial - Section 2
NFL football handicapper - Power Rating System
The power rating system is based on recent game results. NFL handicappers use
this to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is
calculated using both teams ratings & home field advantage. When you compare the
power rating line to the current point spread you establish the "edge" which
indicates the better ATS (against the spread) pick for this NFL football game.
Example 1: Lets say the current point spread shows the Eagles -5 and the Power
Rating Line is Eagles -7. There is a 2 point difference in favor of the Eagles
which signifies the edge is Eagles +2. In this example the Eagles -5 is the
better ATS pick.
Example 2: Lets say the current point spread is Eagles -5 (same as above). Now
lets say the Power Rating Line is Eagles -3. There is a 2 point difference the
other way in this example which signifies the edge is Falcons +2 and so Falcons
+5 would be the better ATS pick.
NFL Betting Tutorial - Section 3
Recent Team Trends and Angles
Recent Trends are figured using recent results in certain relevant statistical
categories. The stat sheet I am looking at offers these stats for the Atlanta
Falcons because they are going against the Eagles. Different stats are analyzed
for different match ups.
-
against conference opponents
-
against divisional opponents
-
as a road underdog
- as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 point
- as an underdog
- as an underdog of 3.5 to 9 points
- in all games
- in all games where total is between 35.5 - 42
- in games played on a grass field
- in games played in January
- in playoff games
- in all road games
- in conference championship games
- gainst teams with winning records
- gainst teams w/ winning records in 2nd half of season
Stats are broken into scenarios such as:
-
Against the spread
-
Over/Under
-
Straight up
These statistics are then broken down as seen
below
-
Current season
-
Last 3 years
- ast 10 years
NFL Football Betting Tutorial - Section 4
NFL Match up - Team Statistics
Performance statistics for each team in various situations are presented.
Categories in which a team has performed poorly are denoted in red and
categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green. Take a quick
look at this section on your stat sheet. Statistics are broken down into the
following offensive and defensive categories:
NFL season performance:
- straight up
- against the spread
-
offense
-
defense
-
home
-
away
-
1st half
-
2nd half
NFL season statistics:
-
rushing
-
passing
-
special teams
-
totals
Turnovers, penalties, special teams
statistics include:
-
fumbles
-
interceptions
-
1st downs
-
3rd downs
-
4th downs
-
kickoff returns
-
punt returns
-
penalties
-
all games
-
road games
-
home games
-
last 3 games
-
on grass field
-
on turf
-
road favorites
-
home favorites
-
road underdogs
-
home underdogs
-
opponents defense average
-
opponents offense average
There are tons of relevant NFL stats that may be included
depending on which two teams are playing, the environment, conditions, etc...
NFL Football Betting Tutorial - Section
5 Current NFL season results & upcoming games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams
involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and
against the total are all displayed. Statistics are provided for the following
categories:
-
date of game
-
opponent
-
final score
-
straight up
-
line total
-
against the spread (ATS)
-
total points (final score)
-
over under results
This information gives you an idea of how
well a team has played and a fair indication of how good or bad their opponents
have been.
Section 6- Head to Head Series History
This is a basic comparison of games between these two in head-to-head match ups.
Most professionals look at this as novelty information.
Statistics are broken down into the following categories:
-
all games since 1992
-
all games in last 3 seasons
-
all games played in Philadelphia since 1992
-
All games in Philadelphia in last 3 seasons
Information provided for this section
includes:
-
date of games
-
location of game
-
final score
-
opening odds
-
ATS results
Statistics presented in this section include:
-
Rushing attempts
-
Rushing yards
-
Passing attempts
-
Passing Yards
- otals
- verages
- umbles
- nterceptions
- enalties
- pecial teams totals
The information provided in this section help you analyze how these teams play
against each other over a long period of time as well as recently.
NFL Football Betting Tutorial - Section 7
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Odds makers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a
side or total. They also move the line in reaction to "wise guy's" selections.
This section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a "read"
on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule,
follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it
when they are below 43%.
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